Tuesday's 15-game MLB slate sees the red-hot Astros gunning for their ninth consecutive win, and Dodgers' rookie Bobby Miller toeing the rubber in his major league start against the first-place Braves.
Per usual, SuperDraft's released its slew of total base and strikeout props for today's MLB slate, and we're trying our hand at finding valuable props to boost your win probability. Users who sign up for SuperDraft can pick their favorite over/unders via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, bringing them closer to the action while having a chance to win cash prizes.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay (maximum six legs), the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep will be challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Tuesday night's MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Tuesday 5/23
* Entry-four picks (10X) potential payout if all four legs parlayed*
1. Yordan Alvarez, LF, Astros @ Brewers - OVER 1.5 bases
Alvarez, who ranks fifth among qualifying hitters in OPS (1.015), has been scorching hot at the plate over his past 15 games. According to MLB Daily Stats, Alvarez dons an elite 221 wRC+ (100 wRC+ is league average) with a wOBA of .491 in those 15 games. Last night, he hit two homers and racked up five RBIs in the Astros' 12-2 drubbing over the Brewers, and there's a chance he stays hot against Milwaukee starter Colin Rea (0-3, 5.52 ERA, 5.54 FIP).
With Milwaukee losing three starters to the IL (Brandon Woodruff, Wade Miley, and Eric Lauer), Rea's been thrust into the starting rotation for now. He's struggled to generate swings and misses (19th percentile in whiff rate) along with limiting hard contact (24th percentile in hard-hit rate) which isn't good news against one of the game's most dangerous hitters. A higher probability of balls in play can lead to Alvarez eclipsing 1.5 total bases on Tuesday night.
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2. Dylan Cease, SP, White Sox @ Guardians - OVER 5 strikeouts
While Cease hasn't produced at the level many thought he would in 2023, he still gives the White Sox a fighting chance to win every fifth day he gets the ball. We think Cease can sit down six-plus Guardians hitters tonight despite the preseason Cy Young candidate seeing a significant drop in the majority of his underlying metrics to begin '23.
He's still getting elite spin on his fastball (94th-percentile FB spin) but has seen his whiff rate on his four-seamer drop to 17.4 percent after posting a 23.2-percent whiff rate in '22. Cease has done a solid job of getting ahead of hitters, recording a career-best 63.3 first-pitch strike percentage, but it has yet to translate in the strikeout department. A tough matchup against a stingy Guardians squad has led to Cease's strikeout prop sitting at just five, but we'll still take our chances on Cease sitting down six-plus Guardians, given it's a rarity to see his K-prop sitting this low. The number is too enticing.
3. Rafael Devers, 3B, Red Sox @ Angels - OVER 1.5 bases
We also like Devers to record two-plus bases against Angels starter Griffin Canning (2-2, 6.14 ERA, 5.13 FIP). We're not sure Canning utilizes his fastball early in the count against Devers, given he's posted a .650 xSLG against fastball this season. However, even if Canning uses his breaking stuff to throw Devers off, Rafi can still make Canning pay.
Devers hasn't been as lethal against breaking balls relative to fastballs, but he's still posting a respectable .291 xBA and a .571 xSLG against them this season. Canning's second-most utilized pitch is his slider (34 percent), and if he leaves one over the plate against Rafi, look for the power-hitting third basemen to take advantage with an extra-base hit.
4. Bryan De La Cruz, LF, Marlins @ Rockies - OVER 1.5 bases
De La Cruz feasted in Game 1 of the Marlins' four-game road set against the Rockies, going 4-for-4 with four singles. He looks to maintain his torrid stretch (.393/.424/.643 slash line the past 15 games) against the struggling Austin Gomber (3-4, 6.70 ERA, 5.83 FIP).
Gomber's had trouble getting righthanders out this season, surrendering a .273 BAA, .873 OPS, and six HRs over 139 at-bats. Take a shot on De La Cruz's total bases OVER 1.5 in what should be a hitter-friendly night at Coors (over/under 11.5 runs).