NBA

Best NBA prop bets today: Anthony Davis, Kevin Durant highlight top over/under picks

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Anthony Davis, Kevin Durant
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With the first round of the premiere NBA In-Season Tournament in the books following a thrilling Tuesday, the Association moves back to a normal Wednesday night of hoops this evening. Tonight's seven-game slate should feature plenty of excitement, however, with reigning and former MVPs Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic, LeBron James, and Kevin Durant all in action. Today, we will share our four favorite TAB player props for tonight's games, hopefully making you some cash to make up for your Cyber Monday dash. 

If you've been following our over/under player prop parlays on TAB over the past month, you know SN Bets has been enjoying the 'Season of Winning.' Four of our four-prop multis have hit over the past four weeks, including this Joker/Zinger/JV big-man banger that brought the house down. We brought Valančiūnas back for more in today's parlay, along with some major star power and a red-hot role player.

We're looking to stay dialed in with four more high-confidence player prop picks, and we hope you'll join in on the fun with us. Don't worry about the dirty work — we do the research, find the best values on the SuperDraft prop market, and share them with you in concise little writeups. It's a simple yet logical process, unlike the countless In-Season Tournament scenarios we had to ponder going into last night. 

Let's get to our picks and break down four of our favorite player props on TAB for Tuesday night's seven-game NBA slate. Remember: you don't necessarily have to combine all four picks together. You could make separate two-leg or three-leg parlays to increase your win probability, or you could attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through. Good luck, have fun, and enjoy what should be a good night of hoops!

Best NBA prop bets today: Top player prop picks for Wednesday

1. Anthony Davis, F/C, Lakers at Pistons — OVER 23.5 points

The Lakers have lost two of their past three games, including an utterly humiliating 44-point beatdown in Philly on Monday night. Davis hit a combined 11 shots in those two Ls, going 7-of-14 against the Sixers and just 4-of-10 against the Mavericks. Darvin Ham will want his star big man more active this evening, especially considering L.A. has dropped to 3-6 on the road and now sits at just seventh in the West. 

A simple dive into the Lakers' 16 games this season shows that they are 8-2 when AD hits eight or more shots, 1-1 when he hits just seven, and 1-4 when he makes fewer than seven. The four-time All-NBA selection won't be shy against a young, often-undisciplined defensive frontcourt like the Pistons. Look for Los Angeles to punch Detroit in the mouth early, with AD finishing with OVER 23.5 points for the 10th time this season, possibly by the end of the third frame. 

2. Kevin Durant, F, Suns at Raptors — OVER 6.5 rebounds

Everyone will be betting KD's points OVER of 28.5, since the two-time scoring champ has been sizzling all season and just keeps getting hotter. His average of 31.4 points per game trails only reigning scoring champ Joel Embiid, but his 33.4 PPG over the past 10 games tells us he might truly be going for scoring title No. 3.

However, we don't expect him to hit his OVER of 28.5 points tonight, as he only averaged 21 PPG against Toronto last season. Instead, we expect Durant to reach eight rebounds for the ninth time this season and the sixth time in an eight-game stretch.

Jakob Poeltl and Jusuf Nurkić will be doing most of the first-unit battling on the glass, so don't be surprised to see Durantula fly in with his 7-5 wingspan and swoop in for a handful of easy boards. We often see larger bodies like Nurk box out other bigs so point forwards like Durant can glide in, grab the board, and initiate the fast break without the need for an outlet pass. Against a fast-paced Raptors squad, we think that will be the case this evening. Go crash, KD!

3. Cole Anthony, PG, Magic vs. Wizards — OVER 15.5 points

Anthony has been on a serious heater lately, dropping 16-plus points in three straight games and most recently filling up the stat line with 30 points, seven rebounds, seven assists, two steals, and a block against the Hornets. Now he draws a meeting with another below-average defense, the Wizards, in what should be another high-scoring game (Orlando's past five games have averaged 235.5 total points, while Washington's past five have averaged a whopping 247.6).

The Wizards have surrendered the second-most points per game on the season (124.0), and point guards have been going off on them over the past week (Cade Cunningham, Trae Young, Damian Lillard, and LaMelo Ball posted respective point totals of 26, 26, 31, and 34 against the Wiz since last Wednesday). Take Anthony at home and root for him to give Washington a Cole-hearted welcome this evening. 

4. Jonas Valančiūnas, C, Pelicans vs. 76ers — OVER 9.5 rebounds

Valančiūnas always steps up against other bigs, so we like him to post a double-double at home against reigning MVP Joel Embiid this evening. JV has hauled in 11-plus boards in four of New Orleans' past six games, so it's a safe bet that the 6-11, 265-pound Lithuanian will get to 10 in what should be a close game from the opening tip to the final buzzer. He averaged 10.5 rebounds against Philly last season and 12.0 per game in 2021-22. Smash the OVER and hope Big V puts the finishing touch on our four-for-four.

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Sloan Piva is a content producer at The Sporting News.